A crypto analyst warns that the current Bitcoin bull run may only have a few months of price expansion left, especially if it follows the same historical pattern from 2020 . Crypto analyst Rekt Capital said in a video that "we have a very small sliver of time and price expansion left,” basing his forecast on how the Bitcoin rally played out five years ago . Rekt explained that if the Bitcoin cycle follows the 2020 pattern, the market will likely peak in October, which is 550 days after the Bitcoin halving in April 2024 . “That's already two to three months potentially that we have left in this bull market,” Rekt said . Rekt acknowledged that many market participants have ignored the halving cycle and predict a possible “cycle extension” lasting until 2026 . “Many people are happy to throw away time-tested principles out the window, whereas it's really important to rely on these sorts of metrics because they are not going to sway you as much as throwing everything out the window will,” he said . He said they are sidelining the halving cycle metric to “chase a new narrative,” such as Bitcoin's correlation with the global M2 Money Supply . According to a market update from analyst Rekt Capital, 88% of Bitcoin's bull run is over . If history repeats, the market could top around October 2025 . With only 2–3 months of likely upside left, most big gains are probably done . While some expect a longer cycle into 2026, the analyst said that sticking to the proven timeline is safer . However, other analysts are still bullish on Bitcoin. Standard Chartered believes that even $120,000 was conservative, based on the torrential inflows into Bitcoin funds . The bank's analysts established a fresh year-end 2025 price target of $200,000 for Bitcoin, suggesting almost double the present price . Brandon Green, BTC Inc.'s Chief of Staff, has predicted an extended Bitcoin bull cycle, beyond its typical duration . He believes $1 million per Bitcoin is within reach by the end of the cycle .
